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JOHN FUND: Why SARAH PALIN Is Not Running – Newsmax

September 2, 2011

John Fund: Why Sarah Palin Is Not Running

Friday, 02 Sep 2011 08:45 AM

By John Fund

Sarah Palin will swoop into Iowa and New Hampshire to speak at tea party rallies this Labor Day weekend, whipping up talk she will announce her candidacy for president. After all, this coming Saturday will mark the third anniversary of her acceptance speech for vice president at the Republican National Convention – a speech which established her as both a conservative icon and a magnet for criticism.

Her supporters are certainly encouraging talk she will be a 2012 candidate. Peter Singleton, her Iowa political organizer, told National Review’s Robert Costa last month: “I believe she will run. Labor Day will kick off the Republican campaign for the nomination. She is going to make a major, major speech.”

But Team Palin is extremely sensitive about anyone else who speculates about what she’s up to. Karl Rove, President Bush’s political strategist, told Fox News last month he thought Palin’s schedule in Iowa meant she would announce her candidacy this coming weekend. That prompted this riposte from Team Palin on the website of her PAC:

“Any professional pundit claiming to have ‘inside information’ regarding Governor Palin’s personal decision is not only wrong but their comments are specifically intended to mislead the American public.”

At the risk of being accused of misleading people, let me state that Sarah Palin isn’t running for president.

No, I don’t have “inside information,” other than that Sarah Palin has had the time of her life playing the media and political class like a fiddle by making them respond to her every Twitter twitch. She has gotten a platform for her views at places ranging from Iowa to the World Economic Forum in South Korea next month. For someone who will use her Tea Party speeches this weekend to express her disdain for how the media and the political class have let this country down, the consternation she’s caused is sweet revenge.

But her ability to make reporters and pundits dance to her tune is ending. She clearly isn’t prepared to announce this weekend. When asked recently in Iowa if she would be ready to join the race by Labor Day, Palin said “I doubt it.”

Even in an era of social media and on-line organizing, Palin hasn’t assembled an organization likely to secure her the nomination. “She seems to lack the ability to trust folks to delegate responsibility and as such we’ve seen a long series of scheduling SNAFUs,” notes Politico’s Ken Vogel. While most of the confusion wasn’t her fault, witness the on-again, off-again stories about whether she would indeed speak at the Iowa Tea Party this weekend.

Her delay in deciding about running have also caused some of her supporters to drift away. She polls only 8% among Republicans in the latest Fox News poll. Surely, her support would climb if she actually entered the race but she faces another obstacle. Many Republicans just don’t believe she is qualified to be president or think she is damaged goods in a general election. The Fox poll found a full 71% of Republicans and 66% of Tea Party supporters don’t want her to run.

Sarah Palin is only 47 years old, a full 15 years younger than Hillary Clinton was when she ran in 2008 and more than two decades younger than Ronald Reagan was when he mounted his successful campaign for president. She knows she has small children to raise and that her own mistakes and relentless media hostility have damaged her brand as a presidential candidate. But she also knows that attention spans are short, America is full of political careers that have been resurrected and she has lots of time to outwait her critics.

via John Fund: Why Sarah Palin Is Not Running.

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