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CHARLES KRAUTHAMMER – The Myth of ’08, Demolished – RealClearPolitics

November 6, 2009

November 6, 2009

The Myth of ’08, Demolished

By Charles Krauthammer

WASHINGTON — Sure, Election Day 2009 will scare moderate Democrats and make passage of Obamacare more difficult. Sure, it makes it easier for resurgent Republicans to raise money and recruit candidates for 2010. But the most important effect of Tuesday’s elections is historical. It demolishes the great realignment myth of 2008.

In the aftermath of last year’s Obama sweep, we heard endlessly about its fundamental, revolutionary, transformational nature. How it was ushering in an FDR-like realignment for the 21st century in which new demographics — most prominently, rising minorities and the young — would bury the GOP far into the future. One book proclaimed “The Death of Conservatism,” while the more modest merely predicted the terminal decline of the Republican Party into a regional party of the Deep South or a rump party of marginalized angry white men.

This was all ridiculous from the beginning. 2008 was a historical anomaly. A uniquely charismatic candidate was running at a time of deep war weariness, with an intensely unpopular Republican president, against a politically incompetent opponent, amid the greatest financial collapse since the Great Depression. And still he won by only seven points.

Exactly a year later comes the empirical validation of that skepticism. Virginia — presumed harbinger of the new realignment, having gone Democratic in ’08 for the first time in 44 years — went red again. With a vengeance. Barack Obama had carried it by six points. The Republican gubernatorial candidate won by 17 — a 23-point swing. New Jersey went from plus 15 Democratic in 2008 to minus 4 in 2009. A 19-point swing.

via RealClearPolitics – The Myth of ’08, Demolished.

  1. Carterthewriter permalink
    November 6, 2009 7:23 AM

    The thought process of these politicians is suspect when they no longer accept the fact that their policies do not coincide with the majority of the American citizen.

  2. Heiko permalink
    November 6, 2009 7:52 AM

    I do believe, Mr. Krauthammers views are not in the mainstream. He can only wish the Republican party has not been hijacked by right extremists.

  3. November 6, 2009 11:47 AM

    And of course, by right wing extremists, you must mean ordinary Americans. We don’t like being trifled with, and we don’t like being crapped on. These recent election results are the tip of a political iceberg that politicians ought to be seeing on their campaign radar. Reality is one of those things that, whether you choose to believe in it or not, happens anyway.

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